Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007986 0.008956 0.010017 0.011268 0.012707 0.014314 0.016252
2025-04-06 0.006232 0.007491 0.008986 0.010907 0.013328 0.016304 0.020281
2025-04-13 0.005261 0.006612 0.008303 0.010603 0.013687 0.017739 0.023558
2025-04-20 0.004678 0.006092 0.007942 0.010576 0.014297 0.019468 0.027379
2025-04-27 0.004360 0.005860 0.007898 0.010926 0.015413 0.021981 0.032645
2025-05-04 0.003985 0.005499 0.007622 0.010890 0.015933 0.023657 0.036875
2025-05-11 0.003704 0.005234 0.007444 0.010960 0.016593 0.025600 0.041808
2025-05-18 0.003416 0.004928 0.007168 0.010836 0.016914 0.027014 0.046041
2025-05-25 0.003229 0.004755 0.007070 0.010972 0.017660 0.029212 0.052021
2025-06-01 0.003017 0.004522 0.006855 0.010889 0.018014 0.030758 0.057021
2025-06-08 0.002765 0.004205 0.006479 0.010495 0.017769 0.031172 0.059835
2025-06-15 0.002620 0.004048 0.006348 0.010504 0.018245 0.032986 0.065840
2025-06-22 0.002564 0.004037 0.006469 0.010990 0.019703 0.036995 0.077606
2025-06-29 0.002367 0.003779 0.006151 0.010650 0.019546 0.037748 0.082216
2025-07-06 0.002197 0.003554 0.005871 0.010354 0.019433 0.038568 0.087149
2025-07-13 0.002086 0.003421 0.005742 0.010328 0.019863 0.040622 0.095621
2025-07-20 0.002037 0.003394 0.005799 0.010669 0.021104 0.044686 0.110369
2025-07-27 0.001940 0.003274 0.005675 0.010633 0.021523 0.046906 0.120626
2025-08-03 0.001865 0.003186 0.005605 0.010701 0.022178 0.049801 0.133615
2025-08-10 0.001772 0.003061 0.005453 0.010580 0.022385 0.051602 0.143765
2025-08-17 0.001716 0.003000 0.005422 0.010713 0.023203 0.055121 0.160434
2025-08-24 0.001639 0.002896 0.005298 0.010633 0.023496 0.057291 0.173260
2025-08-31 0.001536 0.002735 0.005048 0.010249 0.022994 0.057188 0.178102